FS Jelgava vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: FS Jelgava v Super Nova in the Virsliga, played at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Tukums, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Super Nova, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Super Nova, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for FS Jelgava.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 1.4 xG, Super Nova 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 42%, draw 26%, Super Nova 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava42%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Super Nova31%fair 3.21 · @2.90
2.54Expected goals
1.42FS Jelgava xG
1.12Super Nova xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.4 – 1.1 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Super Nova 31%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
FS Jelgava vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
