BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Virsliga brings BFC Daugavpils against Rīgas FS at Stadions Celtnieks. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Riga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over FK Liepaja, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for BFC Daugavpils.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 0.9 xG, Rīgas FS 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 16%, draw 24%, Rīgas FS 60%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.76.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils16%fair 6.11 · @6.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.10
Rīgas FS60%fair 1.67 · @1.42
2.69Expected goals
0.94BFC Daugavpils xG
1.75Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 0.9 – 1.8 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
60%
1.67
1.42
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.76
Draw no bet
Rīgas FS (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
BFC Daugavpils +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Rīgas FS to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
BFC Daugavpils – last 6
LDLDWW
8 May
vs Riga
1–3
L
2 May
@ Grobiņa
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Super Nova
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs FS Jelgava
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Auda
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 6
WDWWWL
8 May
vs FK Liepaja
5–0
W
28 Apr
vs Riga
3–3
D
22 Apr
@ Grobiņa
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Tukums
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rīgas FS 60%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
