FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFC Daugavpils travel to face FK Liepaja on Sunday 17 May in the Virsliga, with Daugavas stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Ogre United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 2–0 FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.5 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 51%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 23%.
Lower-risk option: FK Liepaja or draw (77%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja51%fair 1.97 · @1.64
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.80
BFC Daugavpils23%fair 4.38 · @4.50
2.61Expected goals
1.48FK Liepaja xG
1.12BFC Daugavpils xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.5 – 1.1 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BFC Daugavpils 23%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
