FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: FS Jelgava v BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga, played at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FK Liepaja, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FS Jelgava, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for BFC Daugavpils.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 1–0 FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 1.2 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 32%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava32%fair 3.08 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
BFC Daugavpils42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.57Expected goals
1.17FS Jelgava xG
1.40BFC Daugavpils xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.2 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BFC Daugavpils 42%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
