Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓85% · @1.06
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.43
Rīgas FS vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ogre United travel to face Rīgas FS on Monday 22 June in the Virsliga, with LNK Sporta Parks the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 70 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Riga, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Ogre United, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FS Jelgava, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 2–0 Ogre United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 3.2 xG, Ogre United 0.6 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 85%, draw 11%, Ogre United 4%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 3–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS85%fair 1.18 · @1.06
Draw11%fair 8.75 · @8.60
Ogre United4%fair 25.68 · @23.00
3.81Expected goals
3.19Rīgas FS xG
0.62Ogre United xG
51%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–012%
2–011%
4–010%
3–17%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 3.2 – 0.6 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 85% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ogre United 4%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?
Rīgas FS vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
