FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa travel to face FS Jelgava on Monday 29 June in the Virsliga, with Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
FS Jelgava, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Super Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Grobiņa, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Auda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Grobiņa 0–0 FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 1.7 xG, Grobiņa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 53%, draw 24%, Grobiņa 22%.
Lower-risk option: FS Jelgava or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FS Jelgava or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 1–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FS Jelgava53%fair 1.87 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Grobiņa22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
2.65Expected goals
1.67FS Jelgava xG
0.98Grobiņa xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.7 – 1.0 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FS Jelgava or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grobiņa 22%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
