Tukums vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 1 July the Virsliga brings Tukums against Super Nova. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Ogre United, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Super Nova, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FS Jelgava, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tukums, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Super Nova 1–1 Tukums. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tukums 0 wins, Super Nova 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 1.4 xG, Super Nova 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 41%, draw 26%, Super Nova 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.35
Super Nova33%fair 3.02 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.38Tukums xG
1.28Super Nova xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.4 – 1.3 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tukums vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Tukums have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Super Nova 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Super Nova?
Tukums vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
