Riga vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 3 July: Riga v FS Jelgava in the Virsliga, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35. There are 48 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Auda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
FS Jelgava, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Grobiņa, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.6 xG, FS Jelgava 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 74%, draw 16%, FS Jelgava 10%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–0 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @5.40
FS Jelgava10%fair 9.84 · @9.20
3.41Expected goals
2.56Riga xG
0.85FS Jelgava xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.6 – 0.8 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Riga -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.74
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
First team to score
Riga to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Riga – last 6
WDWWWW
29 Jun
@ Auda
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs FK Liepaja
4–0
W
17 Jun
vs Rīgas FS
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Ogre United
4–1
W
24 May
vs Super Nova
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FS Jelgava – last 6
WWWLDD
29 Jun
vs Grobiņa
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ Super Nova
5–1
W
21 Jun
vs Tukums
4–1
W
17 Jun
vs Ogre United
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ Auda
1–1
D
31 May
vs BFC Daugavpils
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and FS Jelgava.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Riga vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Riga have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FS Jelgava 10%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FS Jelgava?
Riga vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
