Grobiņa vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tukums travel to face Grobiņa on Sunday 5 July in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FS Jelgava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tukums, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Super Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Grobiņa, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tukums.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.4 xG, Tukums 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 38%, draw 25%, Tukums 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Tukums36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
2.71Expected goals
1.40Grobiņa xG
1.31Tukums xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.4 – 1.3 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Tukums?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tukums 36%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Grobiņa vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
