Super Nova vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Super Nova welcome Ogre United to Jana Skredela stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 6 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tukums, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ogre United, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Ogre United 1–2 Super Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.8 xG, Ogre United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 56%, draw 25%, Ogre United 19%.
Lower-risk option: Super Nova or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova56%fair 1.79 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.65
Ogre United19%fair 5.18 · @4.40
2.84Expected goals
1.83Super Nova xG
1.01Ogre United xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.8 – 1.0 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ogre United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Super Nova vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
