Ogre United 17%Draw 24%BFC Daugavpils 60%Expected goals 0.94 – 1.94
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 July the Virsliga brings Ogre United against BFC Daugavpils. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Valmiera BSS, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Riga Mariners, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ogre United 0 wins, BFC Daugavpils 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 0.9 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 17%, draw 24%, BFC Daugavpils 60%.
Lower-risk option: BFC Daugavpils or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 0–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United17%fair 5.95 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.95
BFC Daugavpils60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
2.88Expected goals
0.94Ogre United xG
1.94BFC Daugavpils xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.9 – 1.9 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and BFC Daugavpils 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
