Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Auda to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAuda to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Auda vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Auda v FK Liepaja in the Virsliga, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Auda are 3rd, among the top four, on 73 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Auda, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tukums, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FK Liepaja, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Grobiņa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for FK Liepaja.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Auda 1–0 FK Liepaja. The last 3 head-to-heads: Auda 3 wins, FK Liepaja 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auda 2.0 xG, FK Liepaja 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auda 64%, draw 21%, FK Liepaja 15%.
Lower-risk option: Auda or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Auda to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Auda or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auda 2–0 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auda64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.65
FK Liepaja15%fair 6.66 · @3.65
2.87Expected goals
2.01Auda xG
0.86FK Liepaja xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Auda 2.0 – 0.9 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Auda or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auda vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Auda have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Liepaja 15%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Auda vs FK Liepaja?
Auda vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
