Super Nova vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Riga travel to face Super Nova on Tuesday 15 September in the Virsliga, with Jana Skredela stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tukums, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Riga, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Riga 3–0 Super Nova. The last 2 head-to-heads: Super Nova 0 wins, Riga 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 0.7 xG, Riga 2.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 7%, draw 19%, Riga 74%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 0–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova7%fair 14.15 · @9.50
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @5.80
Riga74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
3.18Expected goals
0.72Super Nova xG
2.46Riga xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–310%
0–110%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
From our goals model: Super Nova 0.7 – 2.5 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Super Nova vs Riga?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Riga 74%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Riga?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Riga?
Super Nova vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
