Tukums vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 27 July: Tukums v Rīgas FS in the Virsliga. In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 64 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Riga, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vestri, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.0 for Tukums.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 3–1 Tukums. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tukums 0 wins, Rīgas FS 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 0.8 xG, Rīgas FS 2.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 9%, draw 18%, Rīgas FS 73%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 0–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums9%fair 11.29 · @9.50
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @5.60
Rīgas FS73%fair 1.36 · @1.22
3.28Expected goals
0.79Tukums xG
2.48Rīgas FS xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–310%
0–19%
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Tukums 0.8 – 2.5 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Tukums have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rīgas FS 73%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Tukums 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Tukums vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
