BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FS Jelgava travel to face BFC Daugavpils on Saturday 1 August in the Virsliga, with Stadions Celtnieks the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auda, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FS Jelgava, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FK Liepaja, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. The last 2 head-to-heads: BFC Daugavpils 1 win, FS Jelgava 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 1.7 xG, FS Jelgava 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 56%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 20%.
Lower-risk option: BFC Daugavpils or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils56%fair 1.80 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.50
FS Jelgava20%fair 5.00 · @3.80
2.57Expected goals
1.66BFC Daugavpils xG
0.91FS Jelgava xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.7 – 0.9 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FS Jelgava 20%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
