Rīgas FS vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rīgas FS welcome Super Nova to LNK Sporta Parks for a Virsliga fixture on Thursday 15 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 49 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FS Jelgava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Super Nova, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grobiņa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Super Nova 0–1 Rīgas FS. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 2 wins, Super Nova 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.1 xG, Super Nova 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 73%, draw 18%, Super Nova 9%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 2–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS73%fair 1.38 · @1.14
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @7.50
Super Nova9%fair 10.85 · @11.00
2.76Expected goals
2.14Rīgas FS xG
0.62Super Nova xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.1 – 0.6 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Super Nova 9%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
