BFC Daugavpils 58%Draw 23%Tukums 20%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.89
80%
Betarazi pick
BFC Daugavpils or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 8 August the Virsliga brings BFC Daugavpils against Tukums at Stadions Celtnieks. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FS Jelgava, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Tukums, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Liepaja, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Tukums.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. The last 2 head-to-heads: BFC Daugavpils 0 wins, Tukums 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 1.9 xG, Tukums 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 58%, draw 23%, Tukums 20%.
Lower-risk option: BFC Daugavpils or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BFC Daugavpils or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.70
Tukums20%fair 5.09 · @3.60
2.76Expected goals
1.87BFC Daugavpils xG
0.89Tukums xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.9 – 0.9 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
Our pick is BFC Daugavpils or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tukums 20%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
