Super Nova vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Virsliga brings Super Nova against FK Liepaja at Jana Skredela stadions. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Grobiņa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
FK Liepaja, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tukums, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Super Nova, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for FK Liepaja.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 2–1 Super Nova. The last 2 head-to-heads: Super Nova 0 wins, FK Liepaja 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.2 xG, FK Liepaja 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 32%, draw 25%, FK Liepaja 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova32%fair 3.13 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.55
FK Liepaja43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
2.64Expected goals
1.21Super Nova xG
1.43FK Liepaja xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.2 – 1.4 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Liepaja 43%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
Super Nova vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
