Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFC Daugavpils travel to face Super Nova on Saturday 22 August in the Virsliga, with Jana Skredela stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; BFC Daugavpils are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ogre United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Super Nova. The last 2 head-to-heads: Super Nova 1 win, BFC Daugavpils 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.2 xG, BFC Daugavpils 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 33%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 46%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
BFC Daugavpils46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.66Expected goals
1.19Super Nova xG
1.47BFC Daugavpils xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.2 – 1.5 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 46%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
