Rīgas FS 39%Draw 23%Riga 38%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.75
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Rīgas FS vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Virsliga brings Rīgas FS against Riga at LNK Sporta Parks. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Super Nova, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Riga, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with KI Klaksvik, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Rīgas FS.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Riga 2–1 Rīgas FS. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 0 wins, Riga 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 1.8 xG, Riga 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 39%, draw 23%, Riga 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Riga38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
3.52Expected goals
1.77Rīgas FS xG
1.75Riga xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 1.8 – 1.8 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Riga?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Riga 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Riga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Rīgas FS vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.