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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rīgas FS v Riga: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · LNK Sporta Parks
3–3
FT

Riga

DWDWW
Rīgas FS 39%Draw 23%Riga 38% Expected goals 1.77 – 1.75
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34

Rīgas FS vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Virsliga brings Rīgas FS against Riga at LNK Sporta Parks. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83.

Current form

Rīgas FS, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Super Nova, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Riga, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with KI Klaksvik, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Rīgas FS.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Riga 2–1 Rīgas FS. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 0 wins, Riga 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 1.8 xG, Riga 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 39%, draw 23%, Riga 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rīgas FS39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Riga38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
3.52Expected goals
1.77Rīgas FS xG
1.75Riga xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: Rīgas FS 1.8 – 1.8 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✗39%2.572.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.55
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapRiga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✗24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.34–

Recent results

Rīgas FS – last 6

WLWLDW
16 Aug@ Super Nova1–0W
13 Augvs FK Jablonec1–2L
10 Augvs Grobiņa6–1W
6 Aug@ FK Jablonec0–2L
30 Jul@ Vestri1–1D
27 Jul@ Tukums1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Riga – last 6

DWDWWW
20 Aug@ KI Klaksvik0–0D
16 Augvs Metta LU4–1W
13 Aug@ Gyori ETO FC1–1D
9 Augvs Ogre United4–1W
6 Augvs Gyori ETO FC1–0W
2 Augvs Grobiņa4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026Riga v Rīgas FS2–1
28 Apr 2026Rīgas FS v Riga3–3
Rīgas FS vs Riga head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Riga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Riga?

On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Riga 38%.

How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Riga?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Riga?

Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Rīgas FS vs Riga?

Rīgas FS vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.