FK Liepaja 11%Draw 21%Riga 68%Expected goals 0.96 – 2.41
68%
Betarazi pick
Riga to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✗68% · @1.48
Double chanceRiga or draw ✗89% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
FK Liepaja vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome Riga to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 31 August (15:30 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auda, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Riga, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over KI Klaksvik, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FK Liepaja.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Riga 4–0 FK Liepaja. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 0 wins, Riga 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.0 xG, Riga 2.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 11%, draw 21%, Riga 68%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 0–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja11%fair 8.75 · @5.40
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.20
Riga68%fair 1.47 · @1.48
3.37Expected goals
0.96FK Liepaja xG
2.41Riga xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.0 – 2.4 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Riga?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Riga 68%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Riga?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Riga?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Riga?
FK Liepaja vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
