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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ogre United v Rīgas FS: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia
0–3
FT
Ogre United 9%Draw 18%Rīgas FS 74% Expected goals 0.84 – 2.60
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✓74% · @1.10
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Ogre United vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rīgas FS travel to face Ogre United on Sunday 30 August in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 70 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ogre United, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FS Jelgava, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Rīgas FS, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Ogre United.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 6–0 Ogre United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ogre United 0 wins, Rīgas FS 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 0.8 xG, Rīgas FS 2.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 9%, draw 18%, Rīgas FS 74%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ogre United9%fair 11.74 · @17.00
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @9.50
Rīgas FS74%fair 1.35 · @1.10
3.44Expected goals
0.84Ogre United xG
2.60Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–39%
1–29%
0–18%
1–38%
1–17%

From our goals model: Ogre United 0.8 – 2.6 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✓74%1.351.10
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓91%1.091.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.20 ▲
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet) ✓90%1.12–
Asian handicapRīgas FS -1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultRīgas FS ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✓52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Ogre United – last 6

LLLDLD
22 Augvs FS Jelgava2–3L
14 Aug@ BFC Daugavpils1–3L
9 Aug@ Riga1–4L
27 Jul@ Grobiņa2–2D
19 Julvs BFC Daugavpils0–4L
12 Jul@ Valmiera BSS2–2D
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS – last 6

DWLWLD
23 Augvs Riga3–3D
16 Aug@ Super Nova1–0W
13 Augvs FK Jablonec1–2L
10 Augvs Grobiņa6–1W
6 Aug@ FK Jablonec0–2L
30 Jul@ Vestri1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jun 2026Rīgas FS v Ogre United6–0
6 Mar 2026Rīgas FS v Ogre United2–0
Ogre United vs Rīgas FS head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?

On our numbers Ogre United have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rīgas FS 74%.

How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?

Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Ogre United vs Rīgas FS?

Ogre United vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.