Super Nova vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Super Nova welcome Tukums to Jana Skredela stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Thursday 10 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FS Jelgava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tukums, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ogre United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Tukums 1–2 Super Nova. The last 4 head-to-heads: Super Nova 3 wins, Tukums 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.8 goals and saw GG land 4 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.6 xG, Tukums 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 47%, draw 21%, Tukums 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Tukums31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
2.89Expected goals
1.62Super Nova xG
1.26Tukums xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.6 – 1.3 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs Tukums?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tukums 31%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Tukums?
Super Nova vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
