Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Virsliga brings Grobiņa against FS Jelgava. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auda, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FS Jelgava, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Super Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Jun 2026) it ended FS Jelgava 2–0 Grobiņa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Grobiņa 0 wins, FS Jelgava 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.2 xG, FS Jelgava 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 36%, draw 23%, FS Jelgava 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa36%fair 2.79 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
FS Jelgava41%fair 2.43 · @2.45
2.60Expected goals
1.24Grobiņa xG
1.36FS Jelgava xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.2 – 1.4 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FS Jelgava 41%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava?
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.