BFC Daugavpils 11%Draw 21%Rīgas FS 68%Expected goals 0.70 – 2.02
68%
Betarazi pick
Rīgas FS to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.29Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.62
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Virsliga brings BFC Daugavpils against Rīgas FS at Stadions Celtnieks. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Riga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Liepaja, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Jun 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 3–1 BFC Daugavpils. The last 2 head-to-heads: BFC Daugavpils 0 wins, Rīgas FS 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 0.7 xG, Rīgas FS 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 11%, draw 21%, Rīgas FS 68%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (68%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 0–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils11%fair 8.72 · @7.50
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @5.00
Rīgas FS68%fair 1.48 · @1.29
2.72Expected goals
0.70BFC Daugavpils xG
2.02Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
1–19%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 0.7 – 2.0 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rīgas FS 68%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
