FK Liepaja 40%Draw 21%Auda 39%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.31
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Auda to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11
FK Liepaja vs Auda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome Auda to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 12 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Auda are 3rd (among the top four) with 73. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with BFC Daugavpils, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Auda, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rīgas FS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Aug 2026) it ended Auda 1–0 FK Liepaja. The last 4 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 0 wins, Auda 4, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.3 xG, Auda 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 40%, draw 21%, Auda 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Auda to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–1 Auda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Auda39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.32FK Liepaja xG
1.31Auda xG
63%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.3 – 1.3 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Auda?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 39%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Auda?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Auda?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Auda?
FK Liepaja vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
