Grobiņa 61%Draw 23%Ogre United 16%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.91
84%
Betarazi pick
Grobiņa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Grobiņa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrobiņa to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceGrobiņa or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Grobiņa vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Virsliga brings Grobiņa against Ogre United. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Super Nova, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ogre United, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to BFC Daugavpils, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jul 2026) it ended Grobiņa 2–2 Ogre United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Grobiņa 0 wins, Ogre United 0, draws 3. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 2.0 xG, Ogre United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 61%, draw 23%, Ogre United 16%.
Lower-risk option: Grobiņa or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Grobiņa to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grobiņa or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.40
Ogre United16%fair 6.41 · @3.80
2.89Expected goals
1.98Grobiņa xG
0.91Ogre United xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 2.0 – 0.9 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Grobiņa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ogre United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Grobiņa vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
