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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BFC Daugavpils v Auda: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Celtnieks
2–1
FT

Auda

WDWDW
BFC Daugavpils 32%Draw 21%Auda 47% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.38
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultAuda to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

BFC Daugavpils welcome Auda to Celtnieks for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 19 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; Auda are 3rd (among the top four) with 73. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ogre United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Auda, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FK Liepaja, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for BFC Daugavpils.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended BFC Daugavpils 2–2 Auda. The last 4 head-to-heads: BFC Daugavpils 1 win, Auda 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.8 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 1.1 xG, Auda 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 32%, draw 21%, Auda 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Auda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BFC Daugavpils32%fair 3.11 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Auda47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
2.45Expected goals
1.07BFC Daugavpils xG
1.38Auda xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%

From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.1 – 1.4 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuda to win ✗47%2.142.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.55
Draw no betAuda (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapBFC Daugavpils +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAuda to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Auda / FT Auda ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

BFC Daugavpils – last 6

WDLDDL
11 Oct@ Ogre United2–1W
19 Sep@ FK Liepaja0–0D
13 Sepvs Rīgas FS1–2L
7 Sep@ Riga1–1D
2 Sepvs Auda2–2D
29 Aug@ Grobiņa0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Auda – last 6

WDWDWD
12 Oct@ FK Liepaja3–2W
20 Sepvs Rīgas FS1–1D
16 Sepvs Ogre United1–0W
11 Sep@ Riga2–2D
6 Sepvs Grobiņa1–0W
2 Sep@ BFC Daugavpils2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026BFC Daugavpils v Auda2–2
26 Jul 2026Auda v BFC Daugavpils1–0
26 May 2026BFC Daugavpils v Auda0–1
12 Apr 2026Auda v BFC Daugavpils2–3
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 47%.

How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtnieks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.