Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓75% · @1.20
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Grobiņa vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 26 October the Virsliga brings Grobiņa against Riga at Grobina Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ogre United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Riga, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pafos, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Riga 4–0 Grobiņa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Grobiņa 0 wins, Riga 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 0.7 xG, Riga 2.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 7%, draw 18%, Riga 75%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 0–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa7%fair 14.22 · @11.00
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.80
Riga75%fair 1.34 · @1.20
3.06Expected goals
0.66Grobiņa xG
2.40Riga xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–214%
0–111%
0–311%
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.7 – 2.4 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Riga?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Riga 75%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Riga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Riga?
Grobiņa vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Grobina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
