Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBuxoro to win ✓48% · @1.95
Double chanceBuxoro or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Buxoro vs Qizilqum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Buxoro v Qizilqum in the Super League. In the table, Buxoro are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 27 matches; Qizilqum are 9th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Buxoro, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dinamo Samarqand, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Qizilqum, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olmaliq, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Buxoro, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Qizilqum.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buxoro 1.3 xG, Qizilqum 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buxoro 48%, draw 28%, Qizilqum 24%.
Lower-risk option: Buxoro or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Buxoro or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxoro 1–0 Qizilqum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buxoro48%fair 2.09 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.88
Qizilqum24%fair 4.18 · @3.70
2.26Expected goals
1.35Buxoro xG
0.91Qizilqum xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Buxoro 1.3 – 0.9 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxoro to win✓
48%
2.09
1.95
Double chance
Buxoro or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Buxoro (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Qizilqum +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Buxoro to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxoro / FT Buxoro✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Buxoro – last 4
WDWW
19 Mar
vs Dinamo Samarqand
3–1
W
11 Mar
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Navbahor
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Kokand-1912
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 4
LWWL
18 Mar
vs Olmaliq
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Mash'al
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Andijan
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Pakhtakor
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxoro and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Buxoro or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Buxoro vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Qizilqum 24%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Buxoro 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Buxoro vs Qizilqum?
Buxoro vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
