Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Navbahor vs Sogdiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Navbahor welcome Sogdiana to Markaziy Stadium for a Super League fixture on Thursday 23 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Sogdiana are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Navbahor, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lokomotiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sogdiana, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Bunyodkor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sogdiana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 2.3 xG, Sogdiana 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 62%, draw 22%, Sogdiana 16%.
Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 2–1 Sogdiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navbahor62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Sogdiana16%fair 6.10 · @4.80
3.36Expected goals
2.30Navbahor xG
1.06Sogdiana xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Navbahor 2.3 – 1.1 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
Navbahor (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Navbahor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Navbahor to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Navbahor ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Navbahor – last 6
WWWWLW
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
1–2
L
10 Mar
@ Pakhtakor
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sogdiana – last 6
LWLDLD
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Pakhtakor
2–4
L
12 Mar
@ Olmaliq
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Sogdiana.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sogdiana 16%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 2–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
Navbahor vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
