Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Navbahor to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bunyodkor welcome Navbahor to Milliy Stadium for a Super League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Bunyodkor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 26 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bunyodkor, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Andijan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Navbahor, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sogdiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bunyodkor 0.9 xG, Navbahor 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bunyodkor 18%, draw 24%, Navbahor 57%.
Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Navbahor to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bunyodkor 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bunyodkor18%fair 5.48 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Navbahor57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
2.62Expected goals
0.85Bunyodkor xG
1.76Navbahor xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bunyodkor 0.9 – 1.8 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.91
Draw no bet
Navbahor (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Bunyodkor +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Navbahor to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Navbahor ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Bunyodkor – last 6
LWLWWW
24 Apr
vs Andijan
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Sogdiana
3–2
W
14 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Mash'al
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Xorazm
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Navbahor – last 6
DWWWWL
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bunyodkor and Navbahor.
Our pick is Navbahor or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Navbahor 57%.
How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
