Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi to win ✓71% · @1.22
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Neftchi vs Kokand-1912: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Neftchi v Kokand-1912 in the Super League, played at Istiqlol Stadium. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Kokand-1912 are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Neftchi, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Xorazm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kokand-1912, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Qizilqum, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Kokand-1912.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 2.2 xG, Kokand-1912 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 71%, draw 19%, Kokand-1912 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi to win (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 2–0 Kokand-1912. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.00
Kokand-191211%fair 9.35 · @12.00
3.05Expected goals
2.23Neftchi xG
0.82Kokand-1912 xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Neftchi 2.2 – 0.8 Kokand-1912 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Neftchi (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Neftchi -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Neftchi to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Neftchi – last 6
WWLWWW
24 Apr
@ Xorazm
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Pakhtakor
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Pakhtakor
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Andijan
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kokand-1912 – last 6
LDDDDW
24 Apr
@ Qizilqum
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Andijan
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Xorazm
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Nasaf
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Sogdiana
2–2
D
18 Mar
vs Navbahor
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi and Kokand-1912.
What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kokand-1912 11%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 2–0 Kokand-1912, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?
Neftchi vs Kokand-1912 (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.