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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Neftchi v Kokand-1912: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Istiqlol Stadium

Neftchi

WWLWW
4–0
FT
Neftchi 71%Draw 19%Kokand-1912 11% Expected goals 2.23 – 0.82
71%
Betarazi pick

Neftchi to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNeftchi to win ✓71% · @1.22
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Neftchi vs Kokand-1912: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Neftchi v Kokand-1912 in the Super League, played at Istiqlol Stadium. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Kokand-1912 are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Neftchi, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Xorazm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kokand-1912, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Qizilqum, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Kokand-1912.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 2.2 xG, Kokand-1912 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 71%, draw 19%, Kokand-1912 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Neftchi to win (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 2–0 Kokand-1912. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Neftchi71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.00
Kokand-191211%fair 9.35 · @12.00
3.05Expected goals
2.23Neftchi xG
0.82Kokand-1912 xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Neftchi 2.2 – 0.8 Kokand-1912 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNeftchi to win ✓71%1.411.22
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.15 ▲
Draw no betNeftchi (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapNeftchi -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreNeftchi to score first ✓70%1.44–
Half-time resultNeftchi ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Neftchi / FT Neftchi ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Neftchi – last 6

WWLWWW
24 Apr@ Xorazm2–0W
14 Apr@ Bunyodkor1–0W
9 Aprvs Pakhtakor0–1L
20 Marvs Lokomotiv3–1W
15 Marvs Pakhtakor1–0W
10 Marvs Andijan3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kokand-1912 – last 6

LDDDDW
24 Apr@ Qizilqum1–2L
19 Aprvs Andijan0–0D
14 Apr@ Xorazm2–2D
8 Aprvs Nasaf1–1D
2 Apr@ Sogdiana2–2D
18 Marvs Navbahor2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Neftchi and Kokand-1912.

Neftchi vs Kokand-1912 head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?

Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?

On our numbers Neftchi have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kokand-1912 11%.

How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?

Our predicted score is Neftchi 2–0 Kokand-1912, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Neftchi vs Kokand-1912?

Neftchi vs Kokand-1912 (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.