Sogdiana vs Surkhon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Surkhon travel to face Sogdiana on Tuesday 28 April in the Super League, with Sogdiana Sport Complex the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sogdiana are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Surkhon are 10th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sogdiana, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Navbahor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Surkhon, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mash'al, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogdiana 1.4 xG, Surkhon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogdiana 49%, draw 28%, Surkhon 23%.
Lower-risk option: Sogdiana or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sogdiana or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogdiana 1–0 Surkhon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogdiana49%fair 2.04 · @1.91
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.00
Surkhon23%fair 4.38 · @3.60
2.41Expected goals
1.43Sogdiana xG
0.98Surkhon xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 1.4 – 1.0 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sogdiana to win✓
49%
2.04
1.91
Double chance
Sogdiana or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Sogdiana (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Surkhon +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sogdiana to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Sogdiana – last 6
DLWLDL
23 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Pakhtakor
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Surkhon – last 6
WLLDWD
22 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Qizilqum
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Navbahor
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Nasaf
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Bunyodkor
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogdiana and Surkhon.
Our pick is Sogdiana or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Surkhon 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Surkhon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 1–0 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Surkhon?
Sogdiana vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
