Nasaf vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Super League brings Nasaf against Navbahor at Markaziy Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Nasaf are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55.
Current form
Nasaf, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pakhtakor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Navbahor, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bunyodkor, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Nasaf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nasaf 1.2 xG, Navbahor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nasaf 37%, draw 28%, Navbahor 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasaf 1–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nasaf37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.90
Navbahor35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
2.29Expected goals
1.20Nasaf xG
1.10Navbahor xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.2 – 1.1 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✗
37%
2.68
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Nasaf (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Navbahor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Nasaf to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Nasaf – last 6
DLDDWL
28 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
2–2
D
23 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs Buxoro
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Kokand-1912
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Andijan
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Surkhon
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Navbahor – last 6
LDWWWW
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasaf and Navbahor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nasaf vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Navbahor 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Navbahor?
Nasaf vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
