Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✗64% · @1.30
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Navbahor vs Qizilqum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qizilqum travel to face Navbahor on Thursday 23 July in the Super League, with Markaziy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Qizilqum are 9th (lower half) with 35. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Navbahor, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Olmaliq, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Qizilqum, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Samarqand, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.6 xG, Qizilqum 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 64%, draw 23%, Qizilqum 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (64%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–0 Qizilqum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navbahor64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.00
Qizilqum13%fair 7.68 · @9.00
2.25Expected goals
1.62Navbahor xG
0.63Qizilqum xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.6 – 0.6 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
64%
1.55
1.30
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.50
Draw no bet
Navbahor (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Navbahor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Navbahor to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.87
–
Recent results
Navbahor – last 6
LDLDWW
17 Jul
vs Olmaliq
2–3
L
4 May
@ Nasaf
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 6
LLDWWL
18 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
4 May
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Xorazm
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Surkhon
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Navbahor vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qizilqum 13%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Qizilqum?
Navbahor vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
