Surkhon 22%Draw 30%Dinamo Samarqand 49%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.36
78%
Betarazi pick
Dinamo Samarqand or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Samarqand to win ✓49% · @1.85
Double chanceDinamo Samarqand or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.49
Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 July the Super League brings Surkhon against Dinamo Samarqand at Stadion Surkhon. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Dinamo Samarqand are 8th (upper half) with 37.
Current form
Surkhon, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Andijan, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Dinamo Samarqand, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Qizilqum, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 0.9 xG, Dinamo Samarqand 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 22%, draw 30%, Dinamo Samarqand 49%.
Lower-risk option: Dinamo Samarqand or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dinamo Samarqand or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 0–1 Dinamo Samarqand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Surkhon22%fair 4.61 · @3.75
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @3.10
Dinamo Samarqand49%fair 2.05 · @1.85
2.29Expected goals
0.93Surkhon xG
1.36Dinamo Samarqand xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Surkhon 0.9 – 1.4 Dinamo Samarqand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Samarqand to win✓
49%
2.05
1.85
Double chance
Dinamo Samarqand or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Dinamo Samarqand (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Surkhon +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Dinamo Samarqand to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Samarqand / FT Dinamo Samarqand✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Surkhon – last 6
WLWLLD
18 Jul
@ Andijan
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Sogdiana
2–5
L
22 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Qizilqum
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Navbahor
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand – last 6
WLDLWL
18 Jul
@ Qizilqum
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Andijan
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Olmaliq
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Sogdiana
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Xorazm
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand.
What is the prediction for Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our pick is Dinamo Samarqand or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Dinamo Samarqand 49%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our predicted score is Surkhon 0–1 Dinamo Samarqand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
