Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.63
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 July the Super League brings Pakhtakor against Xorazm at Pakhtakor Central Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Xorazm are 13th (lower half) with 26. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Xorazm, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sogdiana, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Xorazm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 1.8 xG, Xorazm 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 64%, draw 24%, Xorazm 12%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 1–0 Xorazm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
Draw24%fair 4.26 · @4.00
Xorazm12%fair 8.02 · @7.50
2.53Expected goals
1.81Pakhtakor xG
0.72Xorazm xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.8 – 0.7 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Pakhtakor (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Pakhtakor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pakhtakor to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
DDWWWW
17 Jul
vs Lokomotiv
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Buxoro
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Olmaliq
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Xorazm – last 6
LLDLDD
16 Jul
@ Sogdiana
0–2
L
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Xorazm.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xorazm 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–0 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
