Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi to win ✓59% · @1.50
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Sogdiana vs Neftchi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Tuesday 21 July: Sogdiana v Neftchi in the Super League, played at Sogdiana Sport Complex. In the table, Sogdiana are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Neftchi are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sogdiana, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Xorazm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Neftchi, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Buxoro, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogdiana 1.4 xG, Neftchi 2.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogdiana 18%, draw 23%, Neftchi 59%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogdiana 1–2 Neftchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogdiana18%fair 5.58 · @5.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.60
Neftchi59%fair 1.69 · @1.50
3.69Expected goals
1.38Sogdiana xG
2.31Neftchi xG
59%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 1.4 – 2.3 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Neftchi (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sogdiana +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
First team to score
Neftchi to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Sogdiana – last 6
WWDLWL
16 Jul
vs Xorazm
2–0
W
28 Apr
vs Surkhon
5–2
W
23 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Neftchi – last 6
WLDWWW
16 Jul
vs Buxoro
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Zenit
1–4
L
3 May
@ Olmaliq
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
4–0
W
24 Apr
@ Xorazm
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogdiana and Neftchi.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Neftchi 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Neftchi?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 1–2 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Neftchi?
Sogdiana vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
