Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sogdiana travel to face Lokomotiv on Monday 27 July in the Super League, with Lokomotiv Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 27 matches; Sogdiana are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Andijan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sogdiana, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Neftchi, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 2.3 xG, Sogdiana 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 59%, draw 23%, Sogdiana 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 2–1 Sogdiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.25
Sogdiana18%fair 5.49 · @4.00
3.52Expected goals
2.29Lokomotiv xG
1.23Sogdiana xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 2.3 – 1.2 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Lokomotiv ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 6
DDWLWL
22 Jul
vs Andijan
3–3
D
17 Jul
@ Pakhtakor
1–1
D
4 May
vs Qizilqum
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Nasaf
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sogdiana – last 6
LWWDLW
21 Jul
vs Neftchi
1–5
L
16 Jul
vs Xorazm
2–0
W
28 Apr
vs Surkhon
5–2
W
23 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Sogdiana.
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sogdiana 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 2–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana?
Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotiv Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
