Olmaliq vs Mash'al: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 July the Super League brings Olmaliq against Mash'al at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Olmaliq are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 27 matches; Mash'al are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Olmaliq, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kokand-1912, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Mash'al, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nasaf, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Olmaliq, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mash'al.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olmaliq 2.1 xG, Mash'al 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olmaliq 68%, draw 21%, Mash'al 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olmaliq to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olmaliq 2–0 Mash'al. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olmaliq68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Mash'al11%fair 9.09 · @7.00
2.70Expected goals
2.07Olmaliq xG
0.63Mash'al xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 2.1 – 0.6 Mash'al expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olmaliq to win✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Olmaliq or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Olmaliq (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Olmaliq -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Olmaliq to score first
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Olmaliq ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olmaliq / FT Olmaliq✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Olmaliq – last 6
WWDWDW
22 Jul
@ Kokand-1912
4–1
W
17 Jul
@ Navbahor
3–2
W
3 May
vs Neftchi
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–2
D
17 Apr
vs Buxoro
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mash'al – last 6
DWLLLL
22 Jul
vs Nasaf
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Kokand-1912
1–0
W
27 Apr
vs Buxoro
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Surkhon
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olmaliq and Mash'al.
Our pick is Olmaliq to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Mash'al?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mash'al 11%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Mash'al?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Mash'al?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 2–0 Mash'al, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Mash'al?
Olmaliq vs Mash'al (Super League) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
