Buxoro 14%Draw 24%Neftchi 62%Expected goals 0.76 – 1.83
62%
Betarazi pick
Neftchi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi to win ✗62% · @1.55
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Buxoro vs Neftchi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Neftchi travel to face Buxoro on Tuesday 18 August in the Super League, with Buxoro FA Stadioni the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Buxoro are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 27 matches; Neftchi are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Buxoro, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olmaliq, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Neftchi, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Andijan, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Buxoro.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jul 2026) it ended Neftchi 2–1 Buxoro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buxoro 0.8 xG, Neftchi 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buxoro 14%, draw 24%, Neftchi 62%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi to win (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxoro 0–1 Neftchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buxoro14%fair 7.17 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Neftchi62%fair 1.62 · @1.55
2.59Expected goals
0.76Buxoro xG
1.83Neftchi xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Buxoro 0.8 – 1.8 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Buxoro vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Neftchi 62%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Neftchi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Buxoro 0–1 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Buxoro vs Neftchi?
Buxoro vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
