Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sogdiana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSogdiana to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceSogdiana or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sogdiana welcome Qizilqum to Sogdiana Sport Complex for a Super League fixture on Tuesday 18 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Sogdiana are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Qizilqum are 9th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Sogdiana, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Surkhon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Qizilqum, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mash'al, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sogdiana, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Qizilqum.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Qizilqum 1–3 Sogdiana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sogdiana 2.0 xG, Qizilqum 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sogdiana 58%, draw 24%, Qizilqum 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sogdiana or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sogdiana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sogdiana or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogdiana 2–1 Qizilqum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sogdiana58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Qizilqum18%fair 5.54 · @3.50
3.06Expected goals
2.00Sogdiana xG
1.06Qizilqum xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 2.0 – 1.1 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Sogdiana or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qizilqum 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 2–1 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
