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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Navbahor v Nasaf: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Markaziy Stadium
1–0
FT

Nasaf

LDWWD
Navbahor 57%Draw 25%Nasaf 17% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.76
57%
Betarazi pick

Navbahor to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultNavbahor to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.68

Navbahor vs Nasaf: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Navbahor v Nasaf in the Super League, played at Markaziy Stadium. In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Nasaf are 4th (among the top four) with 45.

Current form

Navbahor, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Bunyodkor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Nasaf, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pakhtakor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Nasaf 0–0 Navbahor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.6 xG, Nasaf 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 57%, draw 25%, Nasaf 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–0 Nasaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Navbahor57%fair 1.74 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
Nasaf17%fair 5.86 · @4.50
2.38Expected goals
1.62Navbahor xG
0.76Nasaf xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Navbahor 1.6 – 0.8 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNavbahor to win ✓57%1.741.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.83
Draw no betNavbahor (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapNasaf +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNavbahor to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.68–

Recent results

Navbahor – last 6

WWWDDL
14 Augvs Bunyodkor4–3W
7 Aug@ Surkhon1–0W
2 Augvs Xorazm5–1W
28 Jul@ Neftchi1–1D
23 Julvs Qizilqum1–1D
17 Julvs Olmaliq2–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nasaf – last 6

LDWWDW
16 Augvs Pakhtakor1–2L
8 Augvs Kokand-19120–0D
3 Aug@ Olmaliq2–1W
28 Julvs Qizilqum1–0W
22 Jul@ Mash'al1–1D
16 Jul@ Bunyodkor3–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Nasaf v Navbahor0–0
Navbahor vs Nasaf head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Navbahor vs Nasaf?

Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Navbahor vs Nasaf?

On our numbers Navbahor have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nasaf 17%.

How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Nasaf?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Nasaf?

Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Navbahor vs Nasaf?

Navbahor vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.