Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Pakhtakor vs Surkhon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Surkhon travel to face Pakhtakor on Friday 21 August in the Super League, with Pakhtakor Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Surkhon are 10th (lower half) with 31. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nasaf, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Surkhon, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sogdiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Surkhon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 2.0 xG, Surkhon 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 70%, draw 22%, Surkhon 8%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 2–0 Surkhon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.80
Surkhon8%fair 11.82 · @10.00
2.62Expected goals
2.03Pakhtakor xG
0.59Surkhon xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 2.0 – 0.6 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✗
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.70
Draw no bet
Pakhtakor (draw no bet)
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Pakhtakor -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Pakhtakor to score first✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
WWDDWW
16 Aug
@ Nasaf
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Al Hussein
3–0
W
6 Aug
vs Buxoro
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Andijan
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Xorazm
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Surkhon – last 6
LLWLLW
13 Aug
vs Sogdiana
1–3
L
7 Aug
vs Navbahor
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Kokand-1912
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Xorazm
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Andijan
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Surkhon.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Surkhon 8%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Surkhon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 2–0 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Surkhon?
Pakhtakor vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
