Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Pakhtakor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Olmaliq v Pakhtakor in the Super League, played at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. In the table, Olmaliq are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 27 matches; Pakhtakor are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Olmaliq, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Xorazm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Pakhtakor, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Andijan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Olmaliq.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Pakhtakor 3–1 Olmaliq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olmaliq 0.9 xG, Pakhtakor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olmaliq 20%, draw 21%, Pakhtakor 59%.
Lower-risk option: Pakhtakor or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Pakhtakor to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olmaliq 0–1 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olmaliq20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Pakhtakor59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
2.63Expected goals
0.88Olmaliq xG
1.75Pakhtakor xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 0.9 – 1.7 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pakhtakor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pakhtakor 59%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 0–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor?
Olmaliq vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
