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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bunyodkor v Buxoro: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Milliy Stadium
2–1
FT

Buxoro

LLDWW
Bunyodkor 21%Draw 21%Buxoro 58% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.73
58%
Betarazi pick

Buxoro to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultBuxoro to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.17

Bunyodkor vs Buxoro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Buxoro travel to face Bunyodkor on Saturday 19 September in the Super League, with Milliy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Bunyodkor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 26 matches; Buxoro are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bunyodkor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lokomotiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Buxoro, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Navbahor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Buxoro, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Bunyodkor.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Buxoro 1–0 Bunyodkor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bunyodkor 0.9 xG, Buxoro 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bunyodkor 21%, draw 21%, Buxoro 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Buxoro to win (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bunyodkor 0–1 Buxoro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bunyodkor21%fair 4.73 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Buxoro58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
2.65Expected goals
0.92Bunyodkor xG
1.73Buxoro xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bunyodkor 0.9 – 1.7 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuxoro to win ✗58%1.731.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betBuxoro (draw no bet) ✗73%1.36–
Asian handicapBunyodkor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreBuxoro to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buxoro / FT Buxoro ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.17–

Recent results

Bunyodkor – last 6

LLLLLL
15 Sepvs Lokomotiv0–1L
9 Sep@ Nasaf0–3L
4 Sepvs Surkhon0–1L
26 Aug@ Lokomotiv1–4L
20 Augvs Kokand-19120–1L
14 Aug@ Navbahor3–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Buxoro – last 6

LLDWWD
11 Sepvs Navbahor1–4L
5 Sep@ Qizilqum2–3L
24 Aug@ Kokand-19121–1D
18 Augvs Neftchi4–1W
13 Augvs Olmaliq2–0W
6 Aug@ Pakhtakor2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jul 2026Buxoro v Bunyodkor1–0
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bunyodkor vs Buxoro?

Our pick is Buxoro to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Bunyodkor vs Buxoro?

On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buxoro 58%.

How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Buxoro?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Buxoro?

Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 0–1 Buxoro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bunyodkor vs Buxoro?

Bunyodkor vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.