Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Mash'al vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Super League brings Mash'al against Pakhtakor at Bahrom Vafoev Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mash'al are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 27 matches; Pakhtakor are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mash'al, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lokomotiv, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Pakhtakor, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Ahli Jeddah, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Mash'al.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Pakhtakor 2–1 Mash'al.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mash'al 0.7 xG, Pakhtakor 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mash'al 10%, draw 17%, Pakhtakor 74%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mash'al 0–2 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mash'al10%fair 10.52 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @6.00
Pakhtakor74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
2.90Expected goals
0.65Mash'al xG
2.24Pakhtakor xG
43%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–214%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mash'al 0.7 – 2.2 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Mash'al have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Pakhtakor 74%.
How many goals will there be in Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Mash'al 0–2 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
Mash'al vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bahrom Vafoev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
