Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Navbahor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Olmaliq vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Navbahor travel to face Olmaliq on Sunday 11 October in the Super League, with OKMK Sport Majmuasi the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Olmaliq are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55.
Current form
Olmaliq, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sogdiana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Navbahor, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dinamo Samarqand, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Olmaliq.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Navbahor 2–3 Olmaliq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olmaliq 0.9 xG, Navbahor 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olmaliq 17%, draw 25%, Navbahor 58%.
Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Navbahor to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olmaliq 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olmaliq17%fair 6.03 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Navbahor58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
2.73Expected goals
0.90Olmaliq xG
1.83Navbahor xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 0.9 – 1.8 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Navbahor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Navbahor 58%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
Olmaliq vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
