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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sogdiana v Lokomotiv: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Sogdiana Sport Complex
2–3
FT
Sogdiana 41%Draw 21%Lokomotiv 38% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.61
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSogdiana to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv travel to face Sogdiana on Sunday 11 October in the Super League, with Sogdiana Sport Complex the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Sogdiana are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Lokomotiv are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sogdiana, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olmaliq, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Lokomotiv, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Neftchi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jul 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 3–1 Sogdiana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sogdiana 1.7 xG, Lokomotiv 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sogdiana 41%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogdiana 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sogdiana41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Lokomotiv38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
3.30Expected goals
1.69Sogdiana xG
1.61Lokomotiv xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Sogdiana 1.7 – 1.6 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSogdiana to win ✗41%2.432.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.551.44
Draw no betSogdiana (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapLokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
First team to scoreSogdiana to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Sogdiana – last 6

LDWWLW
20 Sepvs Olmaliq1–2L
10 Sep@ Xorazm0–0D
5 Sepvs Mash'al5–2W
30 Augvs Jayxun2–0W
23 Aug@ Neftchi0–3L
18 Augvs Qizilqum2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv – last 6

LWWDWW
20 Sepvs Neftchi0–1L
15 Sep@ Bunyodkor1–0W
11 Sepvs Mash'al3–0W
4 Sep@ Navbahor1–1D
26 Augvs Bunyodkor4–1W
20 Aug@ Xorazm3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jul 2026Lokomotiv v Sogdiana3–1
Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?

On our numbers Sogdiana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?

Our predicted score is Sogdiana 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?

Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.